Can anyone beat Danbury? I suspect not, certainly Trumbull, Bristol Eastern, Simsbury and Xaiver all threats. I think Xavier will do well as a lot of guys who can get on the podium. Individual predictions:
106: Rapuano (strong field should be fun)
113: Cyr (potential Hall v Cyr and Charron v Longo semis)
120: Sutton (crazy deep weight I could see 5 or 6 different guys winning)
126: Jack(Hard to see him losing, potential Mariano/Smart v Folino semi should be good)
132: Fields(potential 3rd match-up of Parrot v Fields)
138: Mastroianni(stacked weight some great quarters, interested to see potential Schand v Mastroianni semi)
145: Sung (Hard to see him losing, Veleas v Roberts in rd of 16 a good early one)
152: Marshall (should be good potential final vs Adams)
160: Angers (Hard to see him losing although Gonzalez gave him a tough one in class M final)
170: Sousa (could see a few guys winning this one)
182: LiCastri (Should be great potential final vs. Commander, Nanai not to be overlooked )
195: Gjanji (rematch v Osbey not sure if that would 3rd or 4th time?)
220: Gonzalez(not sure who is best placed for upset)
285: Schrecengost (could see a few different winners)
Marshall and Zukermann out in quarters at 152, Nichols losing in rd of 16 at 132, Commander at 182 losing in quarters. All the scratches and missed weights was the most surprising.
Standout matches/ big upsets from today? Marshall getting knocked out in the quarters was a big one
Official brackets are up on flo - Some major changes at 126 due to a missed weight and no show
i'm not confident about the other half
Wow. I couldn't even begin to handicap this tournament this year. I could give top 4-5 in most brackets and feel comfortable, but I only see three with a truly clear favorite. Maybe a couple more that I feel good about picking the finals match up.
There are a lot of crazy potential matchups this year! I’m excited for all of them haha but yes that is a very toug class , with some exciting match ups at every weight class which is rare. I’m looking forward to opens more this year than I have the past few. LLLLEEEETTTTTSSSSSSSSS GGGGEEEEETTTTTTT RRRREEEEAAAADDDDYYYYYYYYYYYYY TOOOOOOOOOOOOO RUUUUUUUMMMBBBLLLEEEEEEEE!!! Hahaha
Which weight do you think is toughest? I'd have to go 138 as very tough up top with Mastroianni, Johnson, Schand, Ryan, Laurie, Robertson. 120 also deep and a contender
Ok I guess I don’t recall them doing that last year but I like it.
I have to agree there! I just saw the schedule and saw that they wrestle through the quarters tomorrow night. I don’t remember that in the past years, but should make it interesting for the guys who have to make the cut for the second day vs Those that are wrestling their true weight.
106: rapuano/thompson
113: cyr/longo
120: finn/white
126: jack/mariano
132: bradley/fields
138: schand/johnson
145: cardozo/sung
152: adams/marshall
160: angers/Schwartz
170: carr/sousa
182: licastri/commander
195: gjinaj/osbey
220:gonzalez/weiner
285: schrecengost/zeller
potential battles
schand/Mastroianni semi
fields/Nichols semi
smart/mairano quarter
finn/ryan quarter
gonzales/agoev quarter
charron/thompson quarter
I guesstimated point totals based on a break down of the brackets i completed. the fist number represents a number i was conservatively comfortable at, the second is best case scenario. These totals include placement points, advancement & bonus.
Typically a champion scores about 25 points
2nd is good for 20
3rd 16
4th 14
5th 12
6th 11
I see team placement as follows:
1: Danbury (110- 130 points) - They need their 2 horses (Fields, Jack) to make finals with bonus points. In addition to those finalist i think Johnson, Osbey, Leblenc need to make the Podium. If O'dell/Agosto can make make the podium, that just adds to the lead. Any non placers that get a win keeps Danbury ahead, but you never know....
2: Xavier (88-98 points) - I'm not sure how so many are overlooking this team. I think they have finalist at 106, 145 and 170... with a strong possibility of 285 and 132 placing. With a few other scorer's they will be pushing close to 100 points for the tournament which historically gets you near or at 2nd place.
This is where is gets very interesting and i have a had time making this prediction...
3: Trumbull (86-95 points) I am going to go out on a limb and say that the 2 sets of brothers show up for this tournament and score big points. I think they have a finalist at 113, and placement at 106,120,138 and 182. The Ryan brothers have a huge opportunity to elevate this team into second if they can win their R16 and QF matches, but that's a really tall task at hand. Bringing 10 scorers helps, but they need a few wins out of them.
4: Bristol Eastern (82-94 points) I think BE puts two in the finals at 152 and 182, and places 2 more at either 106,132 and 160. Others will pick up some wins and contribute.
5: Simsbury: (66-74) Simsbury is young and dangerous. I think they have a Finalist at 120, and placement at 126,160. I do think they have a chance to score more points then i show, i'm just not putting my money on those freshman.... YET. I think they get some decent points out of their non placers. On a side note, How about that Draw for Bergin, i think he walks to the semis... Or throws and guillotine's everyone which is what he does best.. lol
6: Killingly, New Canaan, Warde (59-68) Not in any order but i do see these teams with a potential of 2 finalist which would get them to about 45 points. They all have a small supporting cast that will score more points, but not enough to break the top 5.
106: Rapuano over Charron
113: Charron over Smith
120: Finn over White
126: Jack over Smart
132: Fields over Bradley
138: Johnson over Schand
145: Sung Over Cardozo
152: Marshall over Adams
160: Angers over Gonazalez
170: Turner over Nooden
182: Nanai over Commander
195: Gjinaj over Bannon
220: Gonzalez over Weiner
285: Zeller over Schrecengost
Here are my Finals predictions:
106: Longo (Trumbull 1LL) over O'dell (Danbury (2LL)
113: Cyr (Middletown 1L) over Longo (Trumbull 1LL)
120: Johnson (Danbury 1LL) over White (Norwalk 2LL)
126: Jack (Danbury 1LL) over Ebert (Warde 3LL)
132: Fields (Danbury 1LL) over Toland-Matos (Bethel 1M)
138: Mastroianni (New Cannan 1L) over Johnson (Ellis Tech 1M)
145: Sung (New Cannoan 1L) over Velds (Berlin 1M)
152: Marshall (Bristol Eastern 1L) over Mazur (Westhill 2LL)
160: Angers (Tolland 1M) over Schwartz (Northwestern 1S)
170: Sousa (Xavier 1L) over Carr (Southington 1LL)
182: LiCastri (Joel Barlow 1M) over Commander (New London 1L)
195: Gjinaj (Warde 1LL) over Osbey (Danbury 2LL)
220: Gonzalez (Bristol Eastern 1L) over Harrington (Staples 1LL)
285: Zeller (Newtown 1LL) over Schrecengost (Avon 1M)
Team Scores:
1st. Danbury 2nd. Trumbull
3rd. Bristol Eastern
4th. Simsbury
5h. Warde
My best guess at the team results:
1. Danbury
2. Bristol Eastern
3. Trumbull
4. Simsbury
5. Xavier
6. Killingly
7. Southington
Interesting possible round of 16 matches:
120 - Powell v Sutton
Ryan v Finn
126 - Kosak v Charron
138 - Ryan v Robertson
Laurie v Brault
145 - Shaughnessy v Fedorko
152 - Sibbett v Venase
182 - Osier v Goethe
I love the Opens......